2015年3月19日星期四

Analysis of China heavy truck in down economy

Because of the particularity of China National heavy duty truck and heavy-duty truck market with the economy of China's "barometer", macro-policy "weathervane" and people living "thermometer," said. Heavy trucks are both the means of production, is a money-making machine), and are closely related to national economic situation.
In 2014, the year and in January this year, the overall down-3.89% and a further fall of heavy trucks-21.63%, this shows that the economy is still in recovery. According to recently official published of January national residents consumption price index (CPI) and industrial production factory price index (PPI) displayed, CPI, and PPI both hit over 5 years low, and PPI continuous 35 months compared with declined, data displayed overall economic is by industrial zone of structural deflation to full deflation, market on deflation risk intensified, industrial field deflation has no suspense, but various signs showed that, total economic is sliding into full deflation of State. Major threat to low inflation is affecting debt ratios. Falling output prices can lead to cost-cutting measures such as cuts in employee wages, could lead to rising prices, foreign investment fled and small businesses have closed down and run in a vicious circle.
Last year, China's real Economist Wu Jinglian pointed out that with a conscience: 1990, China's currency, a total of 15,300 amnesia, memory monetary aggregate 895,600 2011, 21 58.53 times times, United States monetary aggregates only 1.99 times over the same period. This extra money dilutes the national wealth under the national economy this year will remain at channel trends are appearing, which seems to rely on the economic pull of heavy truck market, it is just great information on the advantages and disadvantages of.
Policies and regulations will continue to be around the heavy trucks market
2015, the factors affecting the market for heavy trucks, apart from the economic situation and policy of the left, is obvious. Unless they are in the 1st country IV emission standards outside the formal implementation across the country continue to accelerate the phase out all yellow tagged vehicles for new car sales of heavy trucks will play a stimulating role. State administration of taxation, the new edition of the vehicle purchase taxes and regulations, July 1 in accordance with truck-mounted concrete mixer the prior notice management sought to reform the mixer geometry, cubic, these policies and regulations for first half of 2015 may play a certain role for the time being. After all, used to buy a large volume of mixer truck can do the job, but will have two you shall use in the future.
Yellow tagged car knocked out of this year with the yellow tagged vehicle replacement, standard concrete mixer volumetric standards, State v took the lead in first-tier cities, and so on, these are the heavy trucks market opportunity this year, will slightly stimulated sales of trucks, but expected its effect is limited and does not produce strong stimulating effect.
Real estate, national/local-level infrastructure and heavy trucks are at stake
Because regardless of product or market for heavy trucks has its regional character, but rigid demand for infrastructure investment projects across the country, also will boost growth in the heavy truck market. Such as the speeding up of economic integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, Northeast old industrial areas to continue opening up and reform, development of the Western region, as well as "along the way" and other State-level investment projects, will undoubtedly on the increase of the heavy truck market plays a strong stimulating effect, however its effectiveness, it remains to be seen.
Meanwhile, though still continues to fall in international oil prices, domestic oil prices have begun to rebound, together with a ridiculously high "fuel tax" and rising gas prices, oil prices and gas price gap is not narrowing, but in constant increase, together with a higher cost gas heavy duty trucks, gas price advantage is lost. Coupled with less Highway gas stations across the country due to some reasons such as aerated, it is expected that future gas heavy duty trucks are not as prospective users are welcome. However, from the perspective of environmental protection, including new energy sources such as natural gas is definitely a trend of the future for heavy trucks, including dump trucks, tractors, truck all models in them.
In addition, traditional export countries of national warfare as well as for heavy trucks auto protectionism is becoming more serious, 2015 export situation of heavy trucks may also be extended for 2014, inertia of the export downturn continue to grow and change, the situation is not optimistic. To sum up, three booster engine for the development of the national economy--consumption, investment and export prospects are unknown and, therefore, can also be expected in 2015, heavy-duty truck market is more complicated and confusing.

At present, heavy truck drivers after after almost 70, 80 and 90 are mostly getting younger. They compared to the old heavy truck drivers, and more educated, Internet search trucks in logistic information and check out the product comparison information, policies and regulations, is a pro. Compared with the traditional older drivers, they pay attention to timeliness, focus more on economic accounts using the cost of the vehicles, more and more mature. Or replace their vehicles with their vehicles of choice are more likely to buy a cost-effective and Super value for money in a money-making machine.

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